Statistics Seminar

3:00 pm

Friday, 29th Apr 2016

V105, Mathematics Building


Dr Barrie Stokes

(School of Medicine and Public Health, The University of Newcastle)

Nested Sampling and its "Central Problem"

Nested Sampling (NS) is a numerical algorithm for fitting models to data in the Bayesian setting, put forward by John Skilling in 2004. It has some advantages over Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms; no starting point issues, no burn-in, no proposal distributions.

Nested Sampling calculates the Evidence Pr[data|I] directly; posterior samples are in some sense a by-product.

The "central problem" is the drawing of a likelihood-restricted prior sample at each compression step.

Consideration of new such sampling methods has led to some work on equidistribution testing.